Tuesday, October 1, 2019

Ringgit ends lower against US dollar

KUALA LUMPUR: The ringgit ended lower against the US dollar today on profit taking activities and in tandem with most emerging market currencies, said a dealer.

At 6pm, the local note was at 4.1930/1960 against the greenback compared with Monday’s close of 4.1850/1890.

He said the US dollar rose to its highest in more than two years ahead of the release of the United States manufacturing sector’s data.

The sector was expected to return to growth in September after experiencing a contraction in August due to the US-China trade war.

Meanwhile, the ringgit traded mostly higher against other major currencies.

It rose against the Singapore dollar to close at 3.0242/0272 from yesterday’s 3.0256/0296, increased against the yen to 3.8695/8733 from 3.8757/8801, and strengthened versus the euro to 4.5670/5715 from 4.5704/5752.

The local currency, however, depreciated against the British pound to 5.1507/1560 from 5.1496/1562 yesterday. — Bernama



source https://www.thesundaily.my/business/ringgit-ends-lower-against-us-dollar-EX1437666

Bursa Malaysia settles higher

KUALA LUMPUR: Bursa Malaysia settled higher today at the start of the fourth quarter, buoyed by buying interest in the broader market while tracking the firmer opening in the US equity futures market, analysts said.

At 5pm, the benchmark FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI (FBM KLCI) rose 0.35% or 5.53 points to 1,589.44 from Monday’s close of 1,583.91.

The index, which opened 1.03 points higher at 1,584.94, traded between 1,583.84 and 1,589.64 throughout the day.

The market breadth was positive as gainers outpaced losers 438 to 297, with 391 counters unchanged, 831 untraded and 18 others suspended.

Turnover eased to 1.79 billion shares worth RM1.26 billion from 1.85 billion shares valued at RM1.49 billion yesterday.

Online equity broker Rakuten Trade Sdn Bhd’s head of research Kenny Yee hopes that the positive start to the fourth quarter was a good sign for the upcoming tabling of the Budget 2020.

“We think investors are likely to look forward to an expansionary budget now that huge construction projects start to roll again. This is important as it will also boost investors’ confidence,” he told Bernama.

Yee also said the extension of another six months granted by FTSE Russell recently for Malaysian bonds to stay on the World Government Bond Index was also positive in reducing some of the uncertainties.

“Moving forward, we think the benchmark index should rebound to trade above the 1,600 level as it has already reached its bottom,” he added.

Among the heavyweights, Maybank rose eight sen to RM8.59 and Tenaga added six sen to RM13.70, while Public Bank fell eight sen to RM20.00 and PChem eased three sen to RM7.51. IHH was flat at RM5.68.

As for the actives, Bumi Armada declined half-a-sen to 32 sen, Eduspec lost half-a-sen to 3.5 sen and MNC was flat at 6.5 sen.

The FBM Emas Index advanced 32.31 points to 11,236.02, the FBMT 100 Index gained 29.47 points to 11,067.30 and the FBM Emas Shariah Index was 32.31 points better at 11,236.02.

The FBM 70, however, dropped 0.08 of-a-point to 13,92.99 but the FBM ACE bagged 36.70 points to 4,531.82.

Sector-wise, the Financial Services Index strengthened 56.74 points to 15,366.46 and the Plantation Index was up 50.22 points to 6,770.74 but the Industrial Products & Services Index was 0.08 of-a-point weaker at 153.20.

Main Market volume decreased to 1.15 billion units valued at RM1.18 billion from Monday’s 1.13 billion units worth RM1.36 billion.

Warrants turnover narrowed to 101.19 million valued at RM9.8 million from 324.27 million worth RM69.64 million yesterday.

Volume on the ACE Market fell to 536.82 million shares worth RM78.19 million from 393.17 million shares valued at RM61.83 million on Monday.

Consumer products and services accounted for 145.03 million shares traded on the Main Market, industrial products and services (236.12 million), construction (60.58 million), technology (97.44 million), SPAC (nil), financial services (24.36 million), property (84.41 million), plantations (8.46 million), REITs (29.74 million), closed/fund (46,000), energy (297.13 million), healthcare (16.85 million), telecommunications and media (111.38 million), transportation and logistics (33.71 million), and utilities (11.57 million). — Bernama



source https://www.thesundaily.my/business/bursa-malaysia-settles-higher-XX1437606

MIER urges govt to re-introduce GST in Budget 2020

KUALA LUMPUR: The Malaysian Institute of Economic Research (MIER) has urged the government to re-introduce the Goods and Services Tax (GST) in the 2020 Budget at a lower rate of three per cent.

Describing the GST as a tax regime that is fair to all walks of life, MIER chairman Tan Sri Kamal Salih (pix) said the GST was the system that kept the government afloat when the crude oil price declined to below US$36 per barrel in 2015.

“GST is a fair system, some people said it is regressive because the poor will be affected.

“But we have exclusion clauses that will protect the lower income group, or B40,” he told reporters after witnessing the signing of seven Memorandums of Understanding (MoUs) between MIER and seven associations and entities here today.

Kamal said while the Pakatan Harapan government abolished the GST and replaced it with the Sales and Services Tax (SST) last year, he was one of the economists consulted who were against the idea.

“Because no matter how you expand the SST to different sectors or how the enforcement is done, it will still not be enough to fill what (income) has been produced by GST,” he said.

Meanwhile, he also said the government needs to introduce a stimulus package in the 2020 Budget.

“Otherwise, they are going to be stuck at the fiscal deficit of 3.4 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) and have to borrow more money,” he said.

He expressed optimism that with a new round of investment initiatives in the stimulus package, the government would be able to draw more foreign investment amounting to as much as RM1 trillion, equivalent to the current government debt, into the country.

All in all, Kamal said the upcoming budget should prioritise problems such as the high cost of living, affordable housing and employment faced by the people.

Meanwhile, he said the seven MoUs signed today would bring potential investments totalling US$42 billion to the country, expected to be realised in five years’ time.

The MoUs, mainly in the renewable energy, waste management, oil and gas, maritime and education sectors, were signed under MIER’s Crouching Tiger Research Plan launched on July 29 this year, whereby MIER would consult and provide pre-feasibility studies for the relevant industry while at the same time assisting the government and private sector in achieving the Shared Prosperity Vision 2030.

Thus far, he said, 29 MoUs have been signed under the plan, with most of the deals being private funding projects. — Bernama



source https://www.thesundaily.my/business/mier-urges-govt-to-re-introduce-gst-in-budget-2020-LY1436962

Australia central bank cuts rates to all-time low, signals may need more

SYDNEY: Australia's central bank cut interest rates for the third time this year on Tuesday in a bid to stimulate a sluggish economy and signalled it was prepared to do more if needed, knocking the local dollar to a one-month low.

The country's economy has expanded for 28 years without a recession, but risks have intensified over the past year, with growth slowing, inflation lukewarm, the property market subdued and unemployment ticking higher.

The Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) quarter-point cut took the cash rate to an all-time low of just 0.75%, leaving little room for more reductions and raising the possibility of unconventional policy easing.

RBA Governor Philip Lowe said moves by global central banks to ease monetary policy played a part in the decision as he signalled the need for an extended period of low interest rates.

"The Board will continue to monitor developments, including in the labour market, and is prepared to ease monetary policy further if needed...," Lowe said.

Financial futures are now pricing in a 60% chance of a fourth cut to 0.5% in November, compared with under 30% before the latest decision.

Expectations that rates will be lower for longer sent the Australian dollar slipping to $0.6706, its weakest since early September.

"In cutting rates so aggressively this year, the RBA is hoping to generate a stronger labour market, higher wage growth and to stimulate domestic consumption," said Anthony Doyle, a Sydney-based, cross-asset strategist at Fidelity.

"Fortunately for the RBA, the transmission mechanism of monetary policy is fairly quick in the Australian economy," he said, noting around 80% of mortgages were on variable rates.

The RBA's back-to-back easings in June and July have so far done little to boost activity outside of the housing market.

Indeed, figures earlier in the day showed home prices across Australia's capital cities jumped 1.1% in September, led by Sydney and Melbourne, but approvals to build new homes collapsed to the lowest since 2013.

Economists expect construction-related job losses in coming months which could take the unemployment rate to as high as 5.5% from 5.3% now and the RBA's goal of around 4.5%.

"The RBA now has only three, or possibly even fewer, more conventional cuts available to them before they will have to venture into unconventional monetary easing territory - negative rates, QE (quantitative easing), or bond yield targeting," Rob Carnell, chief Asia-Pacific economist for ING wrote in a note.

Governor Lowe acknowledged the RBA's decision to lower rates was partly in response to slack in the labour market. The jobless rate in August worsened to a one-year high of 5.3%.

"The Board took the decision to lower interest rates further today to support employment and income growth and to provide greater confidence that inflation will be consistent with the medium-term target," Lowe said in a short statement accompanying the rate decision.

"The economy still has spare capacity and lower interest rates will help make inroads into that."

Lowe sees a "gentle turning point" for the economy after annual growth hit a decade low of 1.4% in the quarter-ended June.

The governor is due to speak at a business event in Melbourne later in the day where he is expected to throw more light on future policy course.

Record low interest rates have boosted home prices, helping end two years of continuous declines which ate into household wealth and confidence in a blow to consumption and the broader economy.

Some economists believe the price revival could prove a blessing for the construction sector, which has seen a severe downturn in new home approvals, particularly for the once red-hot apartment sector.

Building approvals fell 1.1% in August, less than a sharp 10% slide in July but confounding market expectations for a bounce of 2.5%, data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) showed.

One positive sign in the data was a small bounce in approvals to build new apartments while non-residential construction surged 54%. - Reuters



source https://www.thesundaily.my/business/australia-central-bank-cuts-rates-to-all-time-low-signals-may-need-more-IY1436831

KNM bags two contracts in Indonesia worth RM55.62m

PETALING JAYA: KNM Group Bhd has clinched two contracts with a total value of US$13.285 million (RM55.62 million).

The group told Bursa Malaysia that its wholly owned subsidiary KNM Process Systems Sdn Bhd had entered into two contract agreements dated September 23 with SK Engineering & Construction Co Ltd for the design, engineering and supply of Column-I (SK) and Column-II (SK) respectively for the RDMP RU-V Balikpapan project in Balikpapan, Indonesia as operated by PT Pertamina (Persero).

The supply and delivery duration of the transaction would be for a combined targeted total period no later than March 24, 2021.

SK is an engineering, procurement, construction and maintenance services company.

KNM said the transaction is expected to contribute positively to the group’s earnings for the financial year ending December 31, 2019, 2020 and 2021.

At 2.32pm, KNM’s share price gained 2.7% to 38.5 sen on 8.65 million shares done.



source https://www.thesundaily.my/business/knm-bags-two-contracts-in-indonesia-worth-rm55-62m-FY1436744

Ekuinas sees private equity market to remain subdued next year

KUALA LUMPUR: Ekuiti Nasional Bhd (Ekuinas) foresees that the private equity market to remain subdued next year, due to lofty valuation expectations of entrepreneurs, according to its CEO Syed Yasir Arafat Syed Abd Kadir (pix).

“This year, everybody is taking a very cautious view, in light of expanding multiples,” he told the media at the launch of The Malaysian Private Equity Forum 2019 here today.

He opined that the overvaluation trend is likely to continue into next year.

Syed Yasir pointed out that there has been a number of deals in the private equity market earlier this year that he deemed expensive.

“Unfortunately, this has set the tone for some of the deals we are working on, people are expecting too high of valuation,” he said.

As of September 30, 2019, Ekuinas’ total fund under management stood at RM4.1 billion.

Last year, the fund divested its stake in Tranglo and MediExpress & PMCare, while it acquired Flexi Versa Group.

In March, it acquired a 40% equity stake in Exabytes Capital for RM44 million.

Since its establishment in 2009, Ekuinas has invested into 23 companies.



source https://www.thesundaily.my/business/ekuinas-sees-private-equity-market-to-remain-subdued-next-year-DY1436720

Monday, September 30, 2019

Between development and managing debts, you can’t take sides : Guan Eng

PUTRAJAYA: Information can be a double-edged sword, depending on how it is being perceived and in the case of the country’s debt level, all is well as the government is balancing it within its means, Finance Minister Lim Guan Eng said.

“In the deficit economy, one can’t avoid from borrowing, but it is important to note on how it is being channelled,” he said.

While it may sound like an old track record, Lim stressed the fact that the debt situation was inherited from the previous Barisan Nasional (BN) government, which conveniently resorted to off-balance-sheet financing to cover-up dubious debts.

Since Pakatan Harapan (PH) took over the government in May 2018, a comprehensive review of the government’s financial obligations was carried out, which confirmed that it had accumulated RM1.087 trillion of debt and liabilities as at the end of 2017.

Despite the government’s total debt and liabilities being reduced to 75.4 per cent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2018 from 79.3 per cent in 2017, direct debt increased to 51.2 per cent of GDP from 50.1 per cent.

“This (increase in direct debt) is basically to finance our fiscal deficit, especially development expenditure, (even though) we (PH) have not undertaken any (new) megaprojects.”

“These are the development projects under the five-year plan (11th Malaysia Plan 2016-2020). Development expenditure must continue, especially in critical areas such as hospitals and public infrastructure,” he told Bernama in an exclusive interview.

Under the BN government, these deficits or shortfalls were covered by government revenues.

“But we cannot do that under the present administration because we have to use some of it to pay off interest payment and debt obligations. For instance, we have begun paying for 1Malaysia Development Bhd’s (1MDB) interest and debt obligations,” Lim said

He said payments related to 1MDB would only increase over time before it starts to taper off after 10 years.

“Remember the world-renowned scandal involved RM52 billion (including interest) with 20 years tenure. In 2020 alone, we are looking at an increase in debt payment interest of up to RM2 billion,” the Finance Minister revealed.

That additional obligations and payments were done discreetly by the previous government, making the balance sheet look as if there are rooms to borrow further.

But the PH government is being very open on how it is funding the development projects, which is in the form of loans that have resulted in an increase in its direct debts, he said.

Lim said the money from Tabung Harapan Malaysia amounting to RM203.29 million as at March 31, 2019, would be fully used up by end of this year to settle part of 1MDB debt and interest obligations.

In the interview that lasted almost one hour, the Finance Minister was clear in his message that between development expenditure and managing the country’s debt, one can’t take sides.

Both have to go hand in hand as long as it is contained within its means.

To date, Lim said the PH government is very much committed to fiscal consolidation of 3.4 per cent in 2019 and 3.0 per cent in 2020.

“We intend to stick to the target,” he said.

“Even though we have a fiscal deficit, we do not run a twin deficit. We have been enjoying Current Account Surplus, which is very important. We are among the very few countries in the world without a twin deficit and it gives a lot of confidence,” he said.

A current account surplus means an economy is exporting a greater value of goods and services than its is importing.

The country’s economy has also remained solid despite the external headwinds with 4.9 per cent growth recorded in the second quarter of this year from 4.5 per cent in the first quarter.

Hence, Lim said there is also enough room for contingency measures or stimulus packages if the global economy scenario warrants it.

“We still hope that the trade talks between the United States and China will be a successful one so that we can continue to enjoy sustainable economic growth.”

Lim also said the three-year timeframe to restore the country’s fiscal health remains.

“There are talks of a possible economic downturn next year (but) I don’t think it will affect our three years rehabilitation of restorative programme to put Malaysia back on track by 2021 – fiscally speaking.”

“With the right pre-emptive measures we should be able to stick to the three-year rehabilitative fiscal programme,” he added.

Earlier in a statement, Lim said the new government has been praised by international rating agencies and investment analysts for the marked improvement in transparency, as well as the standards of good governance.

“Their repeated affirmation of our sovereign ratings at A-/A3 since then, despite the increased transparency in the state of our balance sheet, demonstrates their conviction that this government is taking concrete measures to address the weaknesses.

“Now, we hope the people can see that we are making progress,” he said. -- Bernama



source https://www.thesundaily.my/business/between-development-and-managing-debts-you-can-t-take-sides--guan-eng-KY1436581